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The price of lithium battery packs has become a trend, and prices may be halved by 2025

  • Categories:Industry News
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  • Time of issue:2020-04-03 14:17
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The price of lithium battery packs has become a trend, and prices may be halved by 2025

(Summary description)A survey conducted a few days ago showed that the increase in global production capacity may make the price of power batteries reach the lowest level in history...

  • Categories:Industry News
  • Author:
  • Origin:
  • Time of issue:2020-04-03 14:17
  • Views:
Information

 

  A survey conducted a few days ago showed that the increase in global production capacity may make the price of power batteries reach the lowest level in history. At present, the average selling price of lithium battery packs is 209 US dollars per kilowatt-hour (about 1385.58 yuan), a decrease of 24% over a year ago. In 2010, this figure was 1,000 US dollars (about 6620 yuan).

  Analyst James & Dot; Fris (James Frith) said in the report that this decline will further expand. By 2025, the price of power batteries is expected to drop to $ 100 per kilowatt hour (about 662 yuan). This means that by then, the price of power batteries will be reduced by more than half on the current basis. Bloomberg New Energy Finance gave the estimated price based on a follow-up survey of 50 companies since 2010.

  This figure is also in line with the previous judgment of the American Wards Automotive Magazine. The magazine mentioned in a report that several key players in the energy technology industry are expected to help reduce the price of power batteries to $ 80 by the mid-2020s.

  For the electric vehicle industry, this is undoubtedly excellent news. Because even now, electric vehicle manufacturers and owners have found that the terminal price of such products is generally higher than traditional power models. In fact, the cost of moving parts of electric vehicles is much lower than that of traditional power models, but large components such as battery packs themselves are quite expensive. As one of the three technologies (battery, motor, and electronic control) of the core technology of electric vehicles, the price of batteries is considered to have a direct impact on the final price of electric vehicles.

  In the future, car manufacturers' competition in mass-producing electric vehicles will no longer focus on power, but will focus more on mileage. Because electric vehicles can burst into maximum torque at the moment of starting, drivers often sigh "this car is fast", while electric manufacturers hope that this good experience will last longer through technology. This means that vehicles with larger battery packs should be installed as much as possible, but this approach will significantly increase the manufacturing cost and even the pricing of electric vehicles.

  However, other auto makers like Volkswagen, which face the main market, have plans to use battery packs with similar or larger capacity for their electric products. This is because the price drop of the battery pack has become a trend. By 2025, the composition of a 100-kilowatt-hour battery will fall by about 53% to $ 10,000 (about 66,200 yuan). Fries said that the $ 100 battery price is widely regarded as "a turning point in the popularity of electric vehicles" in the industry.

  The decline in battery prices directly reflects the expansion of the battery manufacturing industry. "The increase in the size of the industry will lead to economies of scale." The report concludes.

  It is worth noting that there is also an important condition for the determination that the decline in the price of lithium batteries can have a synchronous impact on the price of electric vehicles, that is, solid-state batteries have not become the industry's first choice before lithium batteries. At present, companies such as Fisk and Toyota are developing graphene-based supercapacitors, and such technologies may shake the availability of lithium batteries as a whole.

 

  ——From Silicon Valley Network 

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